{"id":3699,"date":"2026-10-14T18:40:06","date_gmt":"2026-10-14T16:40:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lafagianata.it\/en\/fagiano\/"},"modified":"2026-10-14T18:40:06","modified_gmt":"2026-10-14T16:40:06","slug":"fagiano","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/lafagianata.it\/en\/fagiano\/","title":{"rendered":"The fagIAno"},"content":{"rendered":"
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The fagIA<\/span>no<\/h1>\n\t\t\t\t\t

Before every race that matters it says who can win and how likely it is. At the start the probabilities are frozen; after the finish comes the receipt, even when we got it wrong.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

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Against the experts \u00b7 the 2026 test<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

Better than the experts in 30 races out of 41.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t

\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tThe test is run on races the model had not seen, against the newspaper predictions published before the start. The record below is something else: the forecasts frozen and published before the start, from Il Lombardia 2026 onwards, each with its receipt.\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\tHow it is measured: in the method \u2193<\/span><\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t