Tom Crabbe

Form

Best moment

21 February: above the rider’s usual level with probability 83%

Worst moment

3 June: below the rider’s usual level with probability 82%

Now

Steady at the last race (2 August): no clear signal, neither above nor below the usual level

Form is how far the rider goes above or below the usual level, finish after finish, on their terrain (sprint): 18 finishes over the last year, in World Tour and ProSeries races and championships. The line is a Bayesian model’s estimate, the band the 90% interval. In the results, form does not last: it returns to normal in about 2 days, the length of a block of races. The model