Frits Biesterbos

Form

Best moment

16 October: above the rider’s usual level with probability 97%

Worst moment

15 July: below the rider’s usual level with probability 78%

Now

Rising at the last race (17 October): above the usual level with probability 97%

Form is how far the rider goes above or below the usual level, finish after finish, on their terrain (hills, sprint): 38 finishes over the last year, in World Tour and ProSeries races and championships. The line is a Bayesian model’s estimate, the band the 90% interval. In the results, form does not last: it returns to normal in about 2 days, the length of a block of races. The model