Frits Biesterbos

Form

Best moment

15 October: above the rider’s usual level with probability 99%

Worst moment

11 July: below the rider’s usual level with probability 79%

Now

Rising at the last race (16 October): above the usual level with probability 99%

Form is how far the rider goes above or below the usual level, finish after finish, on their terrain (sprint, hills): 37 finishes over the last year, in World Tour and ProSeries races and championships. The line is a Bayesian model’s estimate, the band the 90% interval. In the results, form does not last: it returns to normal in about 2 days, the length of a block of races. The model