Isabella Holmgren

Form

Best moment

3 June: above the rider’s usual level with probability 92%

Worst moment

8 August: below the rider’s usual level with probability 88%

Now

Steady at the last race (9 August): below the usual level with probability 88%

Form is how far the rider goes above or below the usual level, finish after finish, on their terrain (climbing, hills): 15 finishes over the last year, in World Tour and ProSeries races and championships. The line is a Bayesian model’s estimate, the band the 90% interval. In the results, form does not last: it returns to normal in about 4 days, the length of a block of races. The model