Shari Bossuyt

Form

Best moment

8 February: above the rider’s usual level with probability 90%

Worst moment

7 August: below the rider’s usual level with probability 91%

Now

Rising at the last race (13 September): above the usual level with probability 82%

Form is how far the rider goes above or below the usual level, finish after finish, on their terrain (sprint, hills): 22 finishes over the last year, in World Tour and ProSeries races and championships. The line is a Bayesian model’s estimate, the band the 90% interval. In the results, form does not last: it returns to normal in about 4 days, the length of a block of races. The model