Žak Eržen

Form

Best moment

22 September: above the rider’s usual level with probability 85%

Worst moment

13 October: below the rider’s usual level with probability 77%

Now

Steady at the last race (15 October): no clear signal, neither above nor below the usual level

Form is how far the rider goes above or below the usual level, finish after finish, on their terrain (sprint): 14 finishes over the last year, in World Tour and ProSeries races and championships. The line is a Bayesian model’s estimate, the band the 90% interval. In the results, form does not last: it returns to normal in about 2 days, the length of a block of races. The model